Don’t Negate the Huckster
By Albert . Milliron
Mike Huckabee was given very little time in the California Debate even though the Real Clear Politics national average puts him within 1.5% points of Governor Mitt Romney 20.3% at 18.8%. I took a quick look at several sites that provide polling data for Super Tuesday Feb. 5th. Huckabee Wins several states straight up and within striking distance in many others. With Mitt Romney falling in many polls, Mike Huckabee could rack up enough delegates to make a difference in the race. Since Mike and John are exchanging pleasantries of late, I see Huckabee having a much greater roll in the Future of John McCain’s presidential aspirations. Many conservatives don’t care for the sometimes liberal McCain and Huckabee could be the answer to pull in the conservative vote in November. I would look for Mike Huckabee to continue to the convention (which we are covering on site) and pass his delegates to McCain for a position as vice or somewhere in the cabinet. Don’t think so? Watch the Huck on Tuesday and see.
2008 Alabama Republican Presidential Primary – Huckabee Wins – 27.4% – 48 Delegates
(see also 2008 Alabama Democratic Presidential Primary)
2008 Arkansas Republican Presidential Primary – Huckabee Wins – 49.5% – 34 Delegates
2008 Georgia Republican Presidential Primary – Huckabee Wins – 28.4% – 72 Delegates
(see also 2008 Georgia Democratic Presidential Primary)
Huckabee Wins Missouri 27% – 58 Delegates
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Missouri shows Mike Huckabee and John McCain essentially tied for the lead among the Show-Me State’s Likely Republican Primary Voters. Huckabee attracts 27% of the vote while McCain earns 26%.
Mitt Romney is in third place with 18% of the vote. Rudy Giuliani picks up 7%, just two points more than Ron Paul’s 5% support. Sixteen percent (16%) of Likely Voters remain undecided.
In addition to those who are undecided, 11% say there is a good chance they could change their mind and another 23% say they might change their mind.
Nationally, McCain, Romney, and Huckabee lead all Republicans in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Romney and McCain lead in Florida. New polling data shows Huckabee leading in Georgia while McCain and Huckabee are tied for the lead in Alabama.
In Missouri, Huckabee’s support is a bit more solid than McCain’s. Among those who currently support the former Arkansas Governor, 63% are “certain” they will vote for him on election day. Just 56% of McCain’s supporters are that certain. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Romney supporters say the same about their candidate.
Mike Huckabee is viewed favorably by 70% of Likely Republican Primary Voters while 67% offer such a positive assessment of McCain. Giuliani gets favorable reviews from 60% while Romney’s favorable ratings are at 58%. Ron Paul is viewed favorably by just 24%.
On the question of electability, John McCain clearly comes out on top in Missouri. Seventy-one percent (71%) believe that he would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated by the GOP. Just 56% are that confident about Romney’s prospects, 54% believe Huckabee would have a chance and 53% say Giuliani would have a chance to win it all. Just 11% believe Paul would be even somewhat likely to win if nominated.
Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Missouri’s Likely Republican Primary Voters believe the War on Terror is a Very Important voting issue. Seventy-three percent (73%) say the same about Government Ethics and Corruption while 71% consider the Economy a Very Important voting issue. Sixty-five percent (65%) see the War on Iraq as that important while 60% see Immigration as Very Important.