2010 House Competitive Races – Democrats 91 seats vs. GOP 9 seats in Jeopardy

2010 COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACE CHART



Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss-Up: These are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.
Democrats currently have 91 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.
Republicans currently have 9 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.
LEAN DEMOCRATIC
28 DEMOCRATS
3 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
CA-20 Jim Costa D+5
CA-47 Loretta Sánchez D+4
CO-7 Ed Perlmutter D+4
CT-4 Jim Himes D+5
CT-5 Chris Murphy D+2
DE-AL OPEN (Castle) D+7
ID-1 Walt Minnick R+18
IL-10 OPEN (Kirk) D+6
IA-1 Bruce Braley D+5
IA-2 Dave Loebsack D+7
LA-2 Joseph Cao D+25
MI-9 Gary Peters D+2
MN-1 Tim Walz R+1
MN-8 Jim Oberstar D+3
MO-3 Russ Carnahan D+7
NM-1 Martin Heinrich D+5
NY-1 Tim Bishop R+0
NY-13 Mike McMahon R+4
NY-22 Maurice Hinchey D+6
NY-25 Dan Maffei D+3
NC-2 Bob Etheridge R+2
NC-7 Mike McIntyre R+5
NC-11 Heath Shuler R+6
PA-4 Jason Altmire R+6
PA-12 Mark Critz R+1
RI-1 OPEN (Kennedy) D+13
VA-9 Rick Boucher R+11
VA-11 Gerry Connolly D+2
WA-2 Rick Larsen D+3
WV-3 Nick Rahall R+6
WI-3 Ron Kind D+4

DEMOCRATIC TOSS UP
46 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-2 Bobby Bright R+16
AZ-5 Harry Mitchell R+5
AZ-7 Raúl Grijalva D+6
AZ-8 Gabrielle Giffords R+4
AR-1 OPEN (Berry) R+8
CA-11 Jerry McNerney R+1
CO-3 John Salazar R+5
FL-2 Allen Boyd R+6
FL-22 Ron Klein D+1
GA-2 Sanford Bishop, Jr. D+1
GA-8 Jim Marshall R+10
IL-14 Bill Foster R+1
IL-17 Phil Hare D+3
IN-2 Joe Donnelly R+2
IN-9 Baron Hill R+6
IA-3 Leonard Boswell D+1
KY-6 Ben Chandler R+9
MD-1 Frank Kratovil R+13
MA-10 OPEN (Delahunt) D+5
MI-7 Mark Schauer R+2
MS-1 Travis Childers R+14
MS-4 Gene Taylor R+20
MO-4 Ike Skelton R+14
NV-3 Dina Titus D+2
NH-2 OPEN (Hodes) D+3
NJ-3 John Adler R+1
NM-2 Harry Teague R+6
NY-19 John Hall R+3
NY-20 Scott Murphy R+2
NY-23 Bill Owens R+1
NY-24 Michael Arcuri R+2
NC-8 Larry Kissell R+2
ND-AL Earl Pomeroy R+10
OH-6 Charlie Wilson R+2
OH-16 John Boccieri R+4
OH-18 Zack Space R+7
OR-5 Kurt Schrader D+1
PA-8 Patrick Murphy D+2
PA-10 Chris Carney R+8
PA-11 Paul Kanjorski D+4

LIKELY DEMOCRATIC
18 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AR-4 Mike Ross R+7
CA-18 Dennis Cardoza D+4
GA-12 John Barrow D+1
IL-8 Melissa Bean R+1
KY-3 John Yarmuth D+2
ME-1 Chellie Pingree D+8
ME-2 Mike Michaud D+3
MA-4 Barney Frank D+14
MA-5 Niki Tsongas D+8
NJ-12 Rush Holt D+5
NM-3 Ben Ray Lujan D+7
NY-4 Carolyn McCarthy D+6
OH-13 Betty Sutton D+5
OR-1 David Wu D+8
PA-17 Tim Holden R+6
TX-27 Soloman Ortiz R+2
UT-2 Jim Matheson R+15
WA-9 Adam Smith D+5

REPUBLICAN TOSS UP
1 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
HI-1 Charles Djou D+11

LEAN REPUBLICAN
5 REPUBLICANS
17 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AZ-1 Ann Kirkpatrick R+6
AZ-3 OPEN (Shadegg) R+9
CA-3 Dan Lungren R+6
CO-4 Betsy Markey R+6
FL-8 Alan Grayson R+2
FL-12 OPEN (Putnam) R+6
FL-24 Suzanne Kosmas R+4
FL-25 OPEN (Diaz-Balart) R+5
IL-11 Debbie Halvorson R+1
MI-1 OPEN (Stupak) R+3
NH-1 Carol Shea-Porter R+0
OH-1 Steve Driehaus D+1
OH-15 Mary Jo Kilroy D+1
PA-3 Kathy Dahlkemper R+3
PA-7 OPEN (Sestak) D+3
PA-15 Charlie Dent D+2
TN-8 OPEN (Tanner) R+6
TX-17 Chet Edwards R+20
VA-2 Glenn Nye R+5
VA-5 Tom Perriello R+5
WA-3 OPEN (Baird) D+0
WI-8 Steve Kagen R+2

LIKELY REPUBLICAN
8 REPUBLICANS
6 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-5 OPEN (Griffith) R+12
AR-2 OPEN (Snyder) R+5
CA-45 Mary Bono Mack R+3
IN-8 OPEN (Ellsworth) R+8
KS-3 OPEN (Moore) R+3
LA-3 OPEN (Melancon) R+12
MI-3 OPEN (Ehlers) R+6
MN-6 Michele Bachmann R+7
NE-2 Lee Terry R+6
NY-29 VACANT R+5
OH-12 Patrick Tiberi D+1
PA-6 Jim Gerlach D+4
TN-6 OPEN (Gordon) R+13
WA-8 Dave Reichert D+3


via The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races.

2 Comments

  1. More Jobs or More Government?
    Incumbent Congressman Jim Himes is for the same type of command-and-control policies that have consistently led to low growth and high structural unemployment in Eastern Europe in the twentieth century and in Western Europe today: his only problem with pork-barrel stimulus is that there has not been enough of it. His only concern with the healthcare bill is that it did not go far enough. He voted to adjourn congress without addressing January’s massive tax hikes.
    The incumbent is for unlimited government. On his watch, he voted for a government that increased borrowing by a trillion dollars a year. His answer is always the same: more government. More taxes, more spending, more job-killing regulation.
    Challenger Dan Debicella believes that there is a better way: he is for policies conducive to economic growth such as replacing the pork-barrel stimulus with a payroll tax cut. He opposes all tax increases and intrusive regulation that stifles job creation.
    Dan is for a constitutional, limited government. He would cap the size of the federal government at 20% of our gross domestic product. He would force politicians to make trade-offs between competing priorities instead of always growing the size government. He would reduce the number of government employees.
    If Dan Debicella shares your beliefs and you want to help him advance those beliefs in congress, then you can do so here: http://www.40seats.com/ct4 . Both sides should be able to agree that your choice is clear and it is important. What kind of country do we want to live in? Do we want to continue down the current direction or do we think that there is a better way?

  2. “…I am proud as hell of what we have accomplished…
    …I stand behind what we have done and what we have voted for…
    …I stand behind what this president and this congress has been able to do…
    …I am proud as hell, not just on the economy…
    …I am proud as hell…I’m just proud as hell.” – Jim Himes
    Jim Himes voted in favor of the $787 billion dollar stimulus plan. After saddling your family with over ten thousand dollars in additional debt, we still have a ten percent unemployment rate.
    Himes voted the healthcare bill into law, a law which is already projected to cost more than was advertised.
    Himes voted to increase our national debt by a record $1.9 trillion dollars, bringing our total debt to a new high of $12.4 trillion dollars.
    Himes voted with Nancy Pelosi-led Democrats 95% of the time.
    After two years of votes that create too few jobs but too big a role for government, most voters in Fairfield County disagree with each of these votes. Two-thirds of these voters think that Washington is on the wrong track. If you want more of the same, then there is an incumbent congressman who is “proud as hell” of our current direction, but if you think that there is a better way, then you should know that Dan Debicella ( http://www.debicella.com ) thinks so too. If you would like to help Dan get across his message of free enterprise and individual liberty, than you can do so here: https://debicella.blue-swarm.com/donate . Please give what you can because Fairfield County deserves better.

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