Politisite Political Projections vs. 2010 House Final Results

Politisite Political Projections for the House of Representatives called for a 53 +/- 4  which translated to +49-+57 gain for the GOP.  Actual results were a bit higher at +61 seats.  Our analysis beat most pollsters projections for the House.

	Democrat	Republican
AL2	Bright  49%	Roby  51%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
AL5	Raby  42%	Brooks  58%		(100%)	GOP Hold
AZ1	Kirkpatrick  44%	Gosar  50%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
AZ3	Hulburd  41%	Quayle  52%		(100%)	GOP Hold
AZ5	Mitchell  43%	Schweikert  52%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
AZ7	Grijalva  49%	McClung  45%		(100%)	Dem Hold
AZ8	Giffords  49%	Kelly  47%		(100%)	Dem Hold
AR1	Causey  43%	Crawford  52%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
AR2	Elliott  38%	Griffin  58%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
AR4	Ross  58%	Rankin  40%		(100%)	Dem Hold
CA3	Bera  43%	Lungren  50%		(100%)	GOP Hold
CA11	McNerney  48%	Harmer  47%		(100%)	–
CA18	Cardoza  58%	Berryhill  42%		(100%)	Dem Hold
CA20	Costa  49%	Vidak  51%		(100%)	–
CA45	Pougnet  42%	Mack  52%		(100%)	GOP Hold
CA47	Sanchez  51%	Tran  42%		(100%)	Dem Hold
CO3	Salazar  46%	Tipton  50%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
CO4	Markey  41%	Gardner  53%		(98%)	GOP Pickup
CO7	Perlmutter  53%	Frazier  42%		(98%)	Dem Hold
CT1	Larson  61%	Brickley  37%		(100%)	Dem Hold
CT2	Courtney  60%	Peckinpaugh  39%		(100%)	Dem Hold
CT4	Himes  53%	Debicella  47%		(100%)	Dem Hold
CT5	Murphy  54%	Caligiuri  46%		(99%)	Dem Hold
DEAL	Carney  57%	Urquhart  41%		(100%)	Dem Pickup

FL2	Boyd  41%	Southerland  54%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
FL8	Grayson  38%	Webster  56%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
FL12	Edwards  41%	Ross  48%		(100%)	GOP Hold
FL22	Klein  46%	West  54%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
FL24	Kosmas  40%	Adams  60%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
FL25	Garcia  42%	Rivera  53%		(100%)	GOP Hold
GA2	Bishop  51%	Keown  49%		(100%)	Dem Hold
GA8	Marshall  47%	Scott  53%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
GA12	Barrow  57%	McKinney  43%		(100%)	Dem Hold
HI1	Hanabusa  53%	Djou  47%		(100%)	Dem Pickup
ID1	Minnick  41%	Labrador  51%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
IL8	Bean  48%	Walsh  49%		(100%)	–
IL10	Seals  49%	Dold  51%		(100%)	GOP Hold
IL11	Halvorson  43%	Kinzinger  57%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
IL14	Foster  45%	Hultgren  51%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
IL17	Hare  43%	Schilling  53%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
IN2	Donnelly  48%	Walorski  47%		(100%)	Dem Hold
IN8	Haaften  37%	Bucshon  58%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
IN9	Hill  42%	Young  52%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
IA1	Braley  49%	Lange  48%		(100%)	Dem Hold
IA2	Loebsack  51%	Miller-Meeks  46%		(100%)	Dem Hold
IA3	Boswell  51%	Zaun  47%		(100%)	Dem Hold
KS3	Moore  38%	Yoder  59%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
KY3	Yarmuth  55%	Lally  44%		(100%)	Dem Hold
KY6	Chandler  50%	Barr  50%		(100%)	–
LA2	Richmond  65%	Cao  33%		(100%)	Dem Pickup
LA3	Sangisetty  36%	Landry  64%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
ME1	Pingree  57%	Scontras  43%		(98%)	Dem Hold
ME2	Michaud  55%	Levesque  45%		(99%)	Dem Hold
MD1	Kratovil  41%	Harris  55%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
MA4	Frank  54%	Bielat  43%		(100%)	Dem Hold
MA5	Tsongas  55%	Golnik  42%		(100%)	Dem Hold
MA6	Tierney  57%	Hudak  43%		(100%)	Dem Hold
MA10	Keating  47%	Perry  42%		(100%)	Dem Hold
MI1	McDowell  41%	Benishek  52%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
MI7	Schauer  45%	Walberg  50%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
MI9	Peters  50%	Raczkowski  47%		(100%)	Dem Hold
MI15	Dingell  57%	Steele  40%		(100%)	Dem Hold
MN1	Walz  50%	Demmer  44%		(100%)	Dem Hold
MN6	Clark  40%	Bachmann  52%		(100%)	GOP Hold
MN7	Peterson  55%	Byberg  38%		(100%)	Dem Hold
MN8	Oberstar  47%	Cravaack  48%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
MS1	Childers  41%	Nunnelee  55%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
MS2	Thompson  62%	Marcy  37%		(100%)	Dem Hold
MS4	Taylor  47%	Palazzo  52%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
MO3	Carnahan  49%	Martin  47%		(100%)	Dem Hold
MO4	Skelton  45%	Hartzler  50%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
MO5	Cleaver  53%	Turk  44%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NE2	White  39%	Terry  61%		(100%)	GOP Hold
NV3	Titus  47%	Heck  48%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NH1	Shea-Porter  43%	Guinta  54%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NH2	Kuster  47%	Bass  48%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NJ3	Adler  47%	Runyan  50%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NJ6	Pallone  54%	Little  44%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NJ12	Holt  53%	Sipprelle  46%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NM1	Heinrich  52%	Barela  48%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NM2	Teague  45%	Pearce  55%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NM3	Lujan  57%	Mullins  43%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NY1	Bishop  50%	Altschuler  50%		(100%)	–
NY2	Israel  56%	Gomez  43%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NY4	McCarthy  54%	Becker  46%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NY13	McMahon  48%	Grimm  51%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NY19	Hall  47%	Hayworth  53%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NY20	Murphy  45%	Gibson  55%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NY22	Hinchey  52%	Phillips  48%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NY23	Owens  48%	Doheny  46%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NY24	Arcuri  47%	Hanna  53%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NY25	Maffei  50%	Buerkle  50%		(100%)	–
NY27	Higgins  61%	Roberto  39%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NY29	Zeller  44%	Reed  56%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NC2	Etheridge  48%	Ellmers  50%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
NC4	Price  57%	Lawson  43%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NC7	McIntyre  54%	Pantano  46%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NC8	Kissell  53%	Johnson  44%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NC11	Shuler  54%	Miller  46%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NC13	Miller  55%	Randall  45%		(100%)	Dem Hold
NDAL	Pomeroy  45%	Berg  55%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
OH1	Driehaus  45%	Chabot  52%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
OH6	Wilson  45%	Johnson  50%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
OH10	Kucinich  53%	Corrigan  44%		(100%)	Dem Hold
OH12	Brooks  37%	Tiberi  60%		(100%)	GOP Hold
OH13	Sutton  55%	Ganley  45%		(100%)	Dem Hold
OH15	Kilroy  38%	Stivers  57%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
OH16	Boccieri  41%	Renacci  52%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
OH18	Space  40%	Gibbs  54%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
OK2	Boren  57%	Thompson  43%		(100%)	Dem Hold
OR1	Wu  55%	Cornilles  42%		(99%)	Dem Hold
OR4	DeFazio  53%	Robinson  45%		(100%)	Dem Hold
OR5	Schrader  51%	Bruun  46%		(99%)	Dem Hold
PA3	Dahlkemper  44%	Kelly  56%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
PA4	Altmire  51%	Rothfus  49%		(100%)	Dem Hold
PA6	Trivedi  43%	Gerlach  57%		(100%)	GOP Hold
PA7	Lentz  44%	Meehan  55%		(98%)	GOP Pickup
PA8	Murphy  46%	Fitzpatrick  54%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
PA10	Carney  45%	Marino  55%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
PA11	Kanjorski  45%	Barletta  55%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
PA12	Critz  51%	Burns  49%		(100%)	Dem Hold
PA13	Schwartz  56%	Adcock  44%		(100%)	Dem Hold
PA15	Callahan  39%	Dent  54%		(100%)	GOP Hold
PA17	Holden  56%	Argall  44%		(100%)	Dem Hold
RI1	Cicilline  51%	Loughlin  44%		(100%)	Dem Hold
SC5	Spratt  45%	Mulvaney  55%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
SDAL	Sandlin  46%	Noem  48%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
TN4	Davis  39%	DesJarlais  57%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
TN5	Cooper  56%	Hall  42%		(100%)	Dem Hold
TN6	Carter  29%	Black  67%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
TN8	Herron  39%	Fincher  59%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
TX15	Hinojosa  56%	Zamora  41%		(100%)	Dem Hold
TX17	Edwards  36%	Flores  62%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
TX23	Rodriguez  44%	Canseco  49%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
TX25	Doggett  53%	Campbell  45%		(100%)	Dem Hold
TX27	Ortiz  47%	Farenthold  48%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
UT2	Matheson  51%	Philpot  46%		(100%)	Dem Hold
VA2	Nye  43%	Rigell  53%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
VA5	Perriello  47%	Hurt  51%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
VA9	Boucher  47%	Griffith  51%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
VA11	Connolly  49%	Fimian  49%		(100%)	–
WA2	Larsen  51%	Koster  49%		(90%)	–
WA3	Heck  47%	Herrera  53%		(97%)	GOP Pickup
WA6	Dicks  58%	Cloud  42%		(91%)	Dem Hold
WA8	DelBene  46%	Reichert  54%		(81%)	GOP Hold
WA9	Smith  54%	Muri  46%		(86%)	Dem Hold
WI3	Kind  50%	Kapanke  47%		(100%)	Dem Hold
WI7	Lassa  44%	Duffy  52%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
WI8	Kagen  45%	Ribble  55%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
WV1	Oliverio  50%	McKinley  50%		(100%)	GOP Pickup
WV3	Rahall  55%	Maynard  45%		(100%)	Dem Hold

via RealClearPolitics – 2010 Election Maps – House Final Results.