Politisite Political Projections vs. 2010 House Final Results

Politisite Political Projections for the House of Representatives called for a 53 +/- 4 which translated to +49-+57 gain for the GOP. Actual results were a bit higher at +61 seats. Our analysis beat most pollsters projections for the House.

	Democrat	Republican
AL2	Bright 49%	Roby 51%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
AL5	Raby 42%	Brooks 58%	(100%)	GOP Hold
AZ1	Kirkpatrick 44%	Gosar 50%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
AZ3	Hulburd 41%	Quayle 52%	(100%)	GOP Hold
AZ5	Mitchell 43%	Schweikert 52%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
AZ7	Grijalva 49%	McClung 45%	(100%)	Dem Hold
AZ8	Giffords 49%	Kelly 47%	(100%)	Dem Hold
AR1	Causey 43%	Crawford 52%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
AR2	Elliott 38%	Griffin 58%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
AR4	Ross 58%	Rankin 40%	(100%)	Dem Hold
CA3	Bera 43%	Lungren 50%	(100%)	GOP Hold
CA11	McNerney 48%	Harmer 47%	(100%)	–
CA18	Cardoza 58%	Berryhill 42%	(100%)	Dem Hold
CA20	Costa 49%	Vidak 51%	(100%)	–
CA45	Pougnet 42%	Mack 52%	(100%)	GOP Hold
CA47	Sanchez 51%	Tran 42%	(100%)	Dem Hold
CO3	Salazar 46%	Tipton 50%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
CO4	Markey 41%	Gardner 53%	(98%)	GOP Pickup
CO7	Perlmutter 53%	Frazier 42%	(98%)	Dem Hold
CT1	Larson 61%	Brickley 37%	(100%)	Dem Hold
CT2	Courtney 60%	Peckinpaugh 39%	(100%)	Dem Hold
CT4	Himes 53%	Debicella 47%	(100%)	Dem Hold
CT5	Murphy 54%	Caligiuri 46%	(99%)	Dem Hold
DEAL	Carney 57%	Urquhart 41%	(100%)	Dem Pickup

FL2	Boyd 41%	Southerland 54%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
FL8	Grayson 38%	Webster 56%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
FL12	Edwards 41%	Ross 48%	(100%)	GOP Hold
FL22	Klein 46%	West 54%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
FL24	Kosmas 40%	Adams 60%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
FL25	Garcia 42%	Rivera 53%	(100%)	GOP Hold
GA2	Bishop 51%	Keown 49%	(100%)	Dem Hold
GA8	Marshall 47%	Scott 53%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
GA12	Barrow 57%	McKinney 43%	(100%)	Dem Hold
HI1	Hanabusa 53%	Djou 47%	(100%)	Dem Pickup
ID1	Minnick 41%	Labrador 51%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
IL8	Bean 48%	Walsh 49%	(100%)	–
IL10	Seals 49%	Dold 51%	(100%)	GOP Hold
IL11	Halvorson 43%	Kinzinger 57%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
IL14	Foster 45%	Hultgren 51%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
IL17	Hare 43%	Schilling 53%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
IN2	Donnelly 48%	Walorski 47%	(100%)	Dem Hold
IN8	Haaften 37%	Bucshon 58%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
IN9	Hill 42%	Young 52%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
IA1	Braley 49%	Lange 48%	(100%)	Dem Hold
IA2	Loebsack 51%	Miller-Meeks 46%	(100%)	Dem Hold
IA3	Boswell 51%	Zaun 47%	(100%)	Dem Hold
KS3	Moore 38%	Yoder 59%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
KY3	Yarmuth 55%	Lally 44%	(100%)	Dem Hold
KY6	Chandler 50%	Barr 50%	(100%)	–
LA2	Richmond 65%	Cao 33%	(100%)	Dem Pickup
LA3	Sangisetty 36%	Landry 64%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
ME1	Pingree 57%	Scontras 43%	(98%)	Dem Hold
ME2	Michaud 55%	Levesque 45%	(99%)	Dem Hold
MD1	Kratovil 41%	Harris 55%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
MA4	Frank 54%	Bielat 43%	(100%)	Dem Hold
MA5	Tsongas 55%	Golnik 42%	(100%)	Dem Hold
MA6	Tierney 57%	Hudak 43%	(100%)	Dem Hold
MA10	Keating 47%	Perry 42%	(100%)	Dem Hold
MI1	McDowell 41%	Benishek 52%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
MI7	Schauer 45%	Walberg 50%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
MI9	Peters 50%	Raczkowski 47%	(100%)	Dem Hold
MI15	Dingell 57%	Steele 40%	(100%)	Dem Hold
MN1	Walz 50%	Demmer 44%	(100%)	Dem Hold
MN6	Clark 40%	Bachmann 52%	(100%)	GOP Hold
MN7	Peterson 55%	Byberg 38%	(100%)	Dem Hold
MN8	Oberstar 47%	Cravaack 48%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
MS1	Childers 41%	Nunnelee 55%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
MS2	Thompson 62%	Marcy 37%	(100%)	Dem Hold
MS4	Taylor 47%	Palazzo 52%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
MO3	Carnahan 49%	Martin 47%	(100%)	Dem Hold
MO4	Skelton 45%	Hartzler 50%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
MO5	Cleaver 53%	Turk 44%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NE2	White 39%	Terry 61%	(100%)	GOP Hold
NV3	Titus 47%	Heck 48%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NH1	Shea-Porter 43%	Guinta 54%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NH2	Kuster 47%	Bass 48%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NJ3	Adler 47%	Runyan 50%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NJ6	Pallone 54%	Little 44%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NJ12	Holt 53%	Sipprelle 46%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NM1	Heinrich 52%	Barela 48%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NM2	Teague 45%	Pearce 55%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NM3	Lujan 57%	Mullins 43%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NY1	Bishop 50%	Altschuler 50%	(100%)	–
NY2	Israel 56%	Gomez 43%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NY4	McCarthy 54%	Becker 46%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NY13	McMahon 48%	Grimm 51%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NY19	Hall 47%	Hayworth 53%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NY20	Murphy 45%	Gibson 55%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NY22	Hinchey 52%	Phillips 48%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NY23	Owens 48%	Doheny 46%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NY24	Arcuri 47%	Hanna 53%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NY25	Maffei 50%	Buerkle 50%	(100%)	–
NY27	Higgins 61%	Roberto 39%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NY29	Zeller 44%	Reed 56%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NC2	Etheridge 48%	Ellmers 50%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
NC4	Price 57%	Lawson 43%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NC7	McIntyre 54%	Pantano 46%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NC8	Kissell 53%	Johnson 44%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NC11	Shuler 54%	Miller 46%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NC13	Miller 55%	Randall 45%	(100%)	Dem Hold
NDAL	Pomeroy 45%	Berg 55%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
OH1	Driehaus 45%	Chabot 52%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
OH6	Wilson 45%	Johnson 50%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
OH10	Kucinich 53%	Corrigan 44%	(100%)	Dem Hold
OH12	Brooks 37%	Tiberi 60%	(100%)	GOP Hold
OH13	Sutton 55%	Ganley 45%	(100%)	Dem Hold
OH15	Kilroy 38%	Stivers 57%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
OH16	Boccieri 41%	Renacci 52%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
OH18	Space 40%	Gibbs 54%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
OK2	Boren 57%	Thompson 43%	(100%)	Dem Hold
OR1	Wu 55%	Cornilles 42%	(99%)	Dem Hold
OR4	DeFazio 53%	Robinson 45%	(100%)	Dem Hold
OR5	Schrader 51%	Bruun 46%	(99%)	Dem Hold
PA3	Dahlkemper 44%	Kelly 56%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
PA4	Altmire 51%	Rothfus 49%	(100%)	Dem Hold
PA6	Trivedi 43%	Gerlach 57%	(100%)	GOP Hold
PA7	Lentz 44%	Meehan 55%	(98%)	GOP Pickup
PA8	Murphy 46%	Fitzpatrick 54%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
PA10	Carney 45%	Marino 55%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
PA11	Kanjorski 45%	Barletta 55%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
PA12	Critz 51%	Burns 49%	(100%)	Dem Hold
PA13	Schwartz 56%	Adcock 44%	(100%)	Dem Hold
PA15	Callahan 39%	Dent 54%	(100%)	GOP Hold
PA17	Holden 56%	Argall 44%	(100%)	Dem Hold
RI1	Cicilline 51%	Loughlin 44%	(100%)	Dem Hold
SC5	Spratt 45%	Mulvaney 55%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
SDAL	Sandlin 46%	Noem 48%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
TN4	Davis 39%	DesJarlais 57%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
TN5	Cooper 56%	Hall 42%	(100%)	Dem Hold
TN6	Carter 29%	Black 67%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
TN8	Herron 39%	Fincher 59%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
TX15	Hinojosa 56%	Zamora 41%	(100%)	Dem Hold
TX17	Edwards 36%	Flores 62%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
TX23	Rodriguez 44%	Canseco 49%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
TX25	Doggett 53%	Campbell 45%	(100%)	Dem Hold
TX27	Ortiz 47%	Farenthold 48%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
UT2	Matheson 51%	Philpot 46%	(100%)	Dem Hold
VA2	Nye 43%	Rigell 53%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
VA5	Perriello 47%	Hurt 51%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
VA9	Boucher 47%	Griffith 51%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
VA11	Connolly 49%	Fimian 49%	(100%)	–
WA2	Larsen 51%	Koster 49%	(90%)	–
WA3	Heck 47%	Herrera 53%	(97%)	GOP Pickup
WA6	Dicks 58%	Cloud 42%	(91%)	Dem Hold
WA8	DelBene 46%	Reichert 54%	(81%)	GOP Hold
WA9	Smith 54%	Muri 46%	(86%)	Dem Hold
WI3	Kind 50%	Kapanke 47%	(100%)	Dem Hold
WI7	Lassa 44%	Duffy 52%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
WI8	Kagen 45%	Ribble 55%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
WV1	Oliverio 50%	McKinley 50%	(100%)	GOP Pickup
WV3	Rahall 55%	Maynard 45%	(100%)	Dem Hold