Politisite Political Projections vs. 2010 House Final Results

Politisite Political Projections for the House of Representatives called for a 53 +/- 4  which translated to +49-+57 gain for the GOP.  Actual results were a bit higher at +61 seats.  Our analysis beat most pollsters projections for the House.

Democrat Republican
AL2 Bright  49% Roby  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
AL5 Raby  42% Brooks  58% (100%) GOP Hold
AZ1 Kirkpatrick  44% Gosar  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
AZ3 Hulburd  41% Quayle  52% (100%) GOP Hold
AZ5 Mitchell  43% Schweikert  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
AZ7 Grijalva  49% McClung  45% (100%) Dem Hold
AZ8 Giffords  49% Kelly  47% (100%) Dem Hold
AR1 Causey  43% Crawford  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
AR2 Elliott  38% Griffin  58% (100%) GOP Pickup
AR4 Ross  58% Rankin  40% (100%) Dem Hold
CA3 Bera  43% Lungren  50% (100%) GOP Hold
CA11 McNerney  48% Harmer  47% (100%)
CA18 Cardoza  58% Berryhill  42% (100%) Dem Hold
CA20 Costa  49% Vidak  51% (100%)
CA45 Pougnet  42% Mack  52% (100%) GOP Hold
CA47 Sanchez  51% Tran  42% (100%) Dem Hold
CO3 Salazar  46% Tipton  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
CO4 Markey  41% Gardner  53% (98%) GOP Pickup
CO7 Perlmutter  53% Frazier  42% (98%) Dem Hold
CT1 Larson  61% Brickley  37% (100%) Dem Hold
CT2 Courtney  60% Peckinpaugh  39% (100%) Dem Hold
CT4 Himes  53% Debicella  47% (100%) Dem Hold
CT5 Murphy  54% Caligiuri  46% (99%) Dem Hold
DEAL Carney  57% Urquhart  41% (100%) Dem Pickup
FL2 Boyd  41% Southerland  54% (100%) GOP Pickup
FL8 Grayson  38% Webster  56% (100%) GOP Pickup
FL12 Edwards  41% Ross  48% (100%) GOP Hold
FL22 Klein  46% West  54% (100%) GOP Pickup
FL24 Kosmas  40% Adams  60% (100%) GOP Pickup
FL25 Garcia  42% Rivera  53% (100%) GOP Hold
GA2 Bishop  51% Keown  49% (100%) Dem Hold
GA8 Marshall  47% Scott  53% (100%) GOP Pickup
GA12 Barrow  57% McKinney  43% (100%) Dem Hold
HI1 Hanabusa  53% Djou  47% (100%) Dem Pickup
ID1 Minnick  41% Labrador  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
IL8 Bean  48% Walsh  49% (100%)
IL10 Seals  49% Dold  51% (100%) GOP Hold
IL11 Halvorson  43% Kinzinger  57% (100%) GOP Pickup
IL14 Foster  45% Hultgren  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
IL17 Hare  43% Schilling  53% (100%) GOP Pickup
IN2 Donnelly  48% Walorski  47% (100%) Dem Hold
IN8 Haaften  37% Bucshon  58% (100%) GOP Pickup
IN9 Hill  42% Young  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
IA1 Braley  49% Lange  48% (100%) Dem Hold
IA2 Loebsack  51% Miller-Meeks  46% (100%) Dem Hold
IA3 Boswell  51% Zaun  47% (100%) Dem Hold
KS3 Moore  38% Yoder  59% (100%) GOP Pickup
KY3 Yarmuth  55% Lally  44% (100%) Dem Hold
KY6 Chandler  50% Barr  50% (100%)
LA2 Richmond  65% Cao  33% (100%) Dem Pickup
LA3 Sangisetty  36% Landry  64% (100%) GOP Pickup
ME1 Pingree  57% Scontras  43% (98%) Dem Hold
ME2 Michaud  55% Levesque  45% (99%) Dem Hold
MD1 Kratovil  41% Harris  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
MA4 Frank  54% Bielat  43% (100%) Dem Hold
MA5 Tsongas  55% Golnik  42% (100%) Dem Hold
MA6 Tierney  57% Hudak  43% (100%) Dem Hold
MA10 Keating  47% Perry  42% (100%) Dem Hold
MI1 McDowell  41% Benishek  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
MI7 Schauer  45% Walberg  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
MI9 Peters  50% Raczkowski  47% (100%) Dem Hold
MI15 Dingell  57% Steele  40% (100%) Dem Hold
MN1 Walz  50% Demmer  44% (100%) Dem Hold
MN6 Clark  40% Bachmann  52% (100%) GOP Hold
MN7 Peterson  55% Byberg  38% (100%) Dem Hold
MN8 Oberstar  47% Cravaack  48% (100%) GOP Pickup
MS1 Childers  41% Nunnelee  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
MS2 Thompson  62% Marcy  37% (100%) Dem Hold
MS4 Taylor  47% Palazzo  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
MO3 Carnahan  49% Martin  47% (100%) Dem Hold
MO4 Skelton  45% Hartzler  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
MO5 Cleaver  53% Turk  44% (100%) Dem Hold
NE2 White  39% Terry  61% (100%) GOP Hold
NV3 Titus  47% Heck  48% (100%) GOP Pickup
NH1 Shea-Porter  43% Guinta  54% (100%) GOP Pickup
NH2 Kuster  47% Bass  48% (100%) GOP Pickup
NJ3 Adler  47% Runyan  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
NJ6 Pallone  54% Little  44% (100%) Dem Hold
NJ12 Holt  53% Sipprelle  46% (100%) Dem Hold
NM1 Heinrich  52% Barela  48% (100%) Dem Hold
NM2 Teague  45% Pearce  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
NM3 Lujan  57% Mullins  43% (100%) Dem Hold
NY1 Bishop  50% Altschuler  50% (100%)
NY2 Israel  56% Gomez  43% (100%) Dem Hold
NY4 McCarthy  54% Becker  46% (100%) Dem Hold
NY13 McMahon  48% Grimm  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
NY19 Hall  47% Hayworth  53% (100%) GOP Pickup
NY20 Murphy  45% Gibson  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
NY22 Hinchey  52% Phillips  48% (100%) Dem Hold
NY23 Owens  48% Doheny  46% (100%) Dem Hold
NY24 Arcuri  47% Hanna  53% (100%) GOP Pickup
NY25 Maffei  50% Buerkle  50% (100%)
NY27 Higgins  61% Roberto  39% (100%) Dem Hold
NY29 Zeller  44% Reed  56% (100%) GOP Pickup
NC2 Etheridge  48% Ellmers  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
NC4 Price  57% Lawson  43% (100%) Dem Hold
NC7 McIntyre  54% Pantano  46% (100%) Dem Hold
NC8 Kissell  53% Johnson  44% (100%) Dem Hold
NC11 Shuler  54% Miller  46% (100%) Dem Hold
NC13 Miller  55% Randall  45% (100%) Dem Hold
NDAL Pomeroy  45% Berg  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
OH1 Driehaus  45% Chabot  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
OH6 Wilson  45% Johnson  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
OH10 Kucinich  53% Corrigan  44% (100%) Dem Hold
OH12 Brooks  37% Tiberi  60% (100%) GOP Hold
OH13 Sutton  55% Ganley  45% (100%) Dem Hold
OH15 Kilroy  38% Stivers  57% (100%) GOP Pickup
OH16 Boccieri  41% Renacci  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
OH18 Space  40% Gibbs  54% (100%) GOP Pickup
OK2 Boren  57% Thompson  43% (100%) Dem Hold
OR1 Wu  55% Cornilles  42% (99%) Dem Hold
OR4 DeFazio  53% Robinson  45% (100%) Dem Hold
OR5 Schrader  51% Bruun  46% (99%) Dem Hold
PA3 Dahlkemper  44% Kelly  56% (100%) GOP Pickup
PA4 Altmire  51% Rothfus  49% (100%) Dem Hold
PA6 Trivedi  43% Gerlach  57% (100%) GOP Hold
PA7 Lentz  44% Meehan  55% (98%) GOP Pickup
PA8 Murphy  46% Fitzpatrick  54% (100%) GOP Pickup
PA10 Carney  45% Marino  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
PA11 Kanjorski  45% Barletta  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
PA12 Critz  51% Burns  49% (100%) Dem Hold
PA13 Schwartz  56% Adcock  44% (100%) Dem Hold
PA15 Callahan  39% Dent  54% (100%) GOP Hold
PA17 Holden  56% Argall  44% (100%) Dem Hold
RI1 Cicilline  51% Loughlin  44% (100%) Dem Hold
SC5 Spratt  45% Mulvaney  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
SDAL Sandlin  46% Noem  48% (100%) GOP Pickup
TN4 Davis  39% DesJarlais  57% (100%) GOP Pickup
TN5 Cooper  56% Hall  42% (100%) Dem Hold
TN6 Carter  29% Black  67% (100%) GOP Pickup
TN8 Herron  39% Fincher  59% (100%) GOP Pickup
TX15 Hinojosa  56% Zamora  41% (100%) Dem Hold
TX17 Edwards  36% Flores  62% (100%) GOP Pickup
TX23 Rodriguez  44% Canseco  49% (100%) GOP Pickup
TX25 Doggett  53% Campbell  45% (100%) Dem Hold
TX27 Ortiz  47% Farenthold  48% (100%) GOP Pickup
UT2 Matheson  51% Philpot  46% (100%) Dem Hold
VA2 Nye  43% Rigell  53% (100%) GOP Pickup
VA5 Perriello  47% Hurt  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
VA9 Boucher  47% Griffith  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
VA11 Connolly  49% Fimian  49% (100%)
WA2 Larsen  51% Koster  49% (90%)
WA3 Heck  47% Herrera  53% (97%) GOP Pickup
WA6 Dicks  58% Cloud  42% (91%) Dem Hold
WA8 DelBene  46% Reichert  54% (81%) GOP Hold
WA9 Smith  54% Muri  46% (86%) Dem Hold
WI3 Kind  50% Kapanke  47% (100%) Dem Hold
WI7 Lassa  44% Duffy  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
WI8 Kagen  45% Ribble  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
WV1 Oliverio  50% McKinley  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
WV3 Rahall  55% Maynard  45% (100%) Dem Hold

via RealClearPolitics – 2010 Election Maps – House Final Results.

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