Joe Biden at South Carolina Democratic Debate (Photo Credit: Sidney Evans / Politisite

South Carolina Democratic Primary Results – PolitiSite Election Projection

February 28, 2020 Albert N. Milliron 0

While Bernie Sanders was closing in on Joe Biden in the South Carolina Primary,  Joe Biden is expected to pull out a win when all the votes are counted on February 29, 2020.

It wasn’t because a great debate performance during the 10th Democratic Debate in Charleston, South Carolina on Tuesday and it wasn’t because of a major South Carolina state newspaper endorsement., it all came down to the single most important endorsement by an individual.  That individual is House Majority Whip Congressman Jim Clyburn.  Frankly, South Carolina Democrat politics is the among the few states that have people of color making up the majority of voters. These voters look to Clyburn for guidance and (more often then not) follow his lead by pulling the lever for the candidate he endorses.

New Hampshire Primary

New Hampshire Primary Winners and Losers 2020

February 10, 2020 Albert N. Milliron 2

Politisite Political Projections for the 2020 New Hampshire Primary Democratic Presidential Nomination. Political polling predictions is where the Pollsters and Pundits make the real money.  If you get it right, you’re a hero and on every cable channel in America. If not you are pushed to the side like yesterdays news.  This is the nature of political projections. PolitiSite uses a momentum modality that is often used with investment instruments […]

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Ten days to Mid-Term Elections, where does your State Senate race Stand?

October 23, 2010 Politisite 0

It’s always been unlikely that Republicans will pick up the 10 seats needed to take control of the Senate, but a gain of seven or eight seats would be enough for the GOP to effectively block any Democratic proposal and perhaps even move some pieces of legislation. In fact, getting to 48 or 49 members might put Republicans in position to woo enough party switchers to make a majority, depending […]

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GOP out to biggest generic ballot leads in history

August 16, 2010 Politisite 0

The most amazing thing about this? When Democrats tell people that voters hate the GOP as much as they hate them, they’re not blowing smoke. That’s basically true. In fact, in many polls, the Republican Party’s favorables are still lower than the Democrats’. And even so: Biggest generic ballot lead … in history. That’s how popular Hopenchange is. The flip side of that calculus, of course: Imagine what the lead […]

Poll accuracy in the 2008 presidential election: Rasmussen, Pew

August 6, 2010 Politisite 0

For all the derision directed toward pre-election polling, the final poll estimates were not far off from the actual nationwide voteshares for the two candidates. On average, preelection polls from 23 public polling organizations projected a Democratic advantage of 7.52 percentage points on Election Day, which is only about 1.37 percentage points away from the current estimate of a 6.15-point Obama margin in the national popular vote. Following the procedures […]

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Carville: Democrats better start praying

July 14, 2010 Politisite 0

Via Real Clear Politics, it’s pretty clear that James Carville reads his own polls. The money quote comes at 5:02 of the clip, but the entire video is worth watching for the dissection of the WaPo/ABC poll. Democrats are clinging to the confidence portion of the poll to claim that people like Democrats more, but ignore the part where voters want Republicans to run Congress. In order to square that […]

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Carville: Democrats better start praying

July 14, 2010 Politisite 0

Via Real Clear Politics, it’s pretty clear that James Carville reads his own polls. The money quote comes at 5:02 of the clip, but the entire video is worth watching for the dissection of the WaPo/ABC poll. Democrats are clinging to the confidence portion of the poll to claim that people like Democrats more, but ignore the part where voters want Republicans to run Congress. In order to square that […]

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Henry McMaster to Endorse Nikki Haley for Governor

June 14, 2010 Politisite 0

Henry McMaster will endorse Nikki Haley for Governor on Tuesday at a Presser. This comes just just one week after Haley took 49 percent of the GOP vote. Haley is in a run off with Congressman Gresham Barrett. Voters return to the polls in one week. Barrett Received the Endorsement of last place finisher, Lt Gov Andre Bauer last week. CNN Confirms our sources: South Carolina gubernatorial hopeful Nikki Haley […]

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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll – July 30, 2009

July 31, 2009 Politisite 0

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 28% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Thirty-nine percent (39%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -11 (see trends). Yesterday, the President hosted Cambridge police Sgt. James Crowley and Harvard professor Henry Louis Gates Jr., for a beer on the White House lawn. […]